Outlook

Passenger transport

Anticipated market development / %20242025
German passenger transport (based on pkm)+2.2+1.5

As of January 2025. 
Forecast for 2025 rounded to half percentage points.

The German passenger transport market was characterized by sustained growth in 2024. Growth is expected to continue in a more abated form in 2025. The development of demand for transport strongly depends on regulatory policy measures, economic developments and the associated mobility behavior of the population. Commuter traffic and business trips continue to be replaced by mobile working and digital communication in some cases.

Motorized individual transport is expected to be close to pre-Covid-19 performance levels in 2025. Fuel prices, which remain high, continue to have little impact.

Domestic air transport is expected to claw back further Covid-19-related losses in 2025 but will remain well below the pre-Covid-19 level.

Public road passenger transport is expected to increase slightly in 2025. Long-distance bus services are likely to see comparatively weaker development.

Volume sold in rail passenger transport is expected to grow in local and long-distance transport. Local transport is benefiting significantly from the Germany-Ticket and is expected to develop positively despite the increase in the price of the ticket.

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