2018 Integrated Report – On track towards a better Railway

Business development

Development largely in line with forecast of income situation

Outlook for 2018 financial year

2017

2018
(March 2018 forecast)

2018
(July 2018 forecast)

2018

 

Revenues (€ billion)

42.7

~44

~43.7

44.0

Revenues comparable (€ billion)

42.7

~44.2

44.5

EBIT adjusted (€ billion)

2.15

≥2.2

~2.1

2.1

ROCE (%)

6.1

~6.0

~5.6

5.8

Redemption coverage (%)

18.7

≥18.5

~18.0

17.6

Overall, the development of the income situation in the year under review was in line with our adjusted expectations from July 2018. As a result of the declined development in the first half-year of 2018, we had withdrawn our expectations for the operating profit. Accordingly, the expectations regarding ROCE and redemption coverage were also adjusted.

Revenues (€ million)

2017

2018
(March 2018 forecast)

2018
(July 2018 forecast)

2018

 

DB Long-Distance

4,347

 

 

4,682

DB Regional

8,734

 

 

8,968

DB Arriva

5,345

 

 

5,441

DB Cargo

4,528

 

 

4,460

DB Schenker

16,430

 

 

17,050

DB Netze Track

5,364

 

 

5,511

DB Netze Stations

1,265

 

 

1,314

DB Netze Energy

2,794

 

 

2,850

   Above previous year's figure
  At previous year's level
  Below previous year's figure

At the business unit level, revenue development in the year under review was largely in line with our forecast of July 2018.

  • At DB Cargo performance was weaker than expected. Here the negative effects from operational problems and resource shortages made themselves known.
  • DB Netze Energy exceeded revenue expectations as a result of price and performance factors. Business development with non-Group customers was better than planned.

EBIT adjusted (€ million)

2017

2018
(March 2018 forecast)

2018
(July 2018 forecast)

2018

 

DB Long-Distance

381

 

 

417

DB Regional

508

 

 

492

DB Arriva

301

 

 

300

DB Cargo

– 90

 

 

– 190

DB Schenker

477

 

 

503

DB Netze Track

687

 

 

840

DB Netze Stations

233

 

 

221

DB Netze Energy

72

 

 

21

  Above previous year's figure
  At previous year's level
 Below previous year's figure

The actual EBIT development for the individual business units during the year under review was largely in line with our forecasts of July 2018.

  • At DB Regional performance was rather weaker than expected. Charges particularly arising from additional quality-improvement measures could not be fully compensated.
  • DB Cargo performed significantly more weakly than expected owing inter alia to the negative effects of operational problems and resource shortages.