2018 Integrated Report – On track towards a better Railway

Business development

ROCE weaker

ROCE

2018

2017

Verände­rung

absolut

%

 

EBIT adjusted (€ million)

2,111

2,152

– 41

– 1.9

Capital Employed as of Dec 31 (€ million)

36,657

35,093

+ 1,564

+ 4.5

ROCE (%)

5.8

6.1

ROCE worsened by 0.3 percentage points as a result of the slight decrease of adjusted EBIT coupled with a simultaneous growth of capital employed.

Capital Employed gestiegen

Capital employed
as of Dec 31 (€ million)

2018

2017

Change

absolute

%

 

BASED ON ASSETS

    

Property, plant and equipment

40,757

39,608

+ 1,149

+ 2.9

Intangible assets / goodwill

3,730

3,599

+ 131

+ 3.6

Inventories

1,369

1,151

+ 218

+ 18.9

Trade receivables

4,962

4,571

+ 391

+ 8.6

Receivables and other assets

2,250

1,922

+ 328

+ 17.1

Receivables from financing

– 174

– 131

– 43

+ 32.8

Income tax receivables

62

52

+ 10

+ 19.2

Assets held for sale

26

0

+ 26

Trade liabilities

– 5,491

– 5,157

– 334

+ 6.5

Miscellaneous and other liabilities

– 3,918

– 3,632

– 286

+ 7.9

Income tax liabilities

– 195

– 150

– 45

+ 30.0

Other provisions

– 5,068

– 5,117

+ 49

– 1.0

Deferred items

– 1,648

– 1,623

– 25

+ 1.5

Assets held for sale

–5

–5

Capital employed 

36,657

35,093

+ 1,564

+ 4.5

Capital employed equates to the assets deemed necessary for business and subject to the cost of capital, as derived from the balance sheet. The increase in capital employed resulted inter alia from an increase in the account balance of property, plant and equipment, for reasons including vehicle procurement and decrease of other provisions.

Cost of capital down

The cost of capital is updated annually to take account of changes in market parameters.

Cost of capital before taxes

2018

2017

 

DB Group

6.8

7.0

Passenger transport

6.9

7.3

Freight transport and logistics

8.5

8.6

Infrastructure

5.8

6.0

Integrated rail system

6.0

6.6

Cost of capital after taxes

2018

2017

 

DB Group

4.7

4.8

Passenger transport

4.8

5.1

Freight transport and logistics

5.9

6.0

Infrastructure

4.0

4.2

Integrated rail system

4.2

4.6

We calculate DB Groupʼs cost of capital as a weighted av­­erage interest rate of equity, net financial debt and pension obligations.

When determining the company-independent capital market parameters, market risk premium and risk-free interest rate, short-term fluctuations in debt and equity market returns are smoothed out in line with the long-term focus of our value management concept. The parameters are determined on the basis of the yields on long-term German bunds as well as the long-term average returns of the German DAX 30 equity index. The parameters used are also validated on the basis of up-to-date recommendations of recognized valuation experts. The company-dependent capital market parameters, beta and credit spread, measure the risk of our debt and equity financing in comparison with alternative forms of investment. Beta reflects the risk of equity capital relative to the risks of the equity markets. The determination is based on comparable international companies at business unit level. The credit spread corresponds to DB Groupʼs current issue costs relative to bonds with an imputed term of ten years. The credit spread for transport and logistics is determined in line with market conditions, using current capital market data.

Tax factors are calculated using a taxation rate of 30.5%. The tax factor for net financial debt reflects the trade tax applied to fixed debt interest to be credited. The taxes remaining after this are fully allocated to cost of equity. The weighting of forms of financing is based on market values. Net financial debt and pension obligations are valued at their carrying amounts. Equity weighting is based on recognized business valuation methods.

The weighting of forms of financing for passenger transport, rail freight transport, logistics, infrastructure and the integrated rail system corresponds to that of DB Group as the tax shield resulting from the tax-deductible status of debt interest arises, as a rule, from the fact that DB Group is a consolidated tax group.

ROCE still lower than the cost of capital

Yield spread (%)

2019

2018

2017

2016

2015

 

ROCE

5.8

6.1

5.9

5.3

Pre-tax WACC 1)

6.8

7.0

7.3

7.7

8.4

Spread (percentage points)

–1.2

–1.2

–1.8

–3.1

1) Each value taken at the beginning of the year..

In the year under review, the negative difference between ROCE and costs of capital remained on the level of the previous year. The shortfall is mainly due to the lack of profitability of the RIC and of DB Cargo.

Determining cost of capital

Capital market parameters
Cost of capital
Tax factor
Cost of capital (WACC)
  • Beta
    Un­levered0.620.610.840.490.52

    Levered
    1.251.241.690.981.05
    Market risk premium
    6.0
    Risk-free interest
    1.5
    Credit Spread
    0.801.101.100.800.80
  • Equity
    9.08.911.77.47.8
    Debt capital
    2.32.62.62.32.3
  • 1.441.441.441.441.44
    1.031.041.041.031.03
    1.001.001.001.001.00
  • Equity
    13.012.916.810.611.2
    Weighting1)
    41.4
    Net
    financial
    debt
    2.42.72.72.42.4
    Weighting1)
    48.9
    Pension obligations
    2.32.62.62.32.3
    Weighting1)
    9.8
  • Pre-tax WACC
    6.86.98.55.86.0
    Tax Shield
    100 – 30.5
    After-tax WACC
    4.74.85.94.04.2

Click on the colored buttons to display or hide the relevant figures in the diagram.

1) Impact of capital structure is reflected only in the tax shield; because DB Group is a consolidated tax group the capital structure of DB Group is used. Individual figures are rounded and therefore may not add up.
As of December 31, 2018 (%).

1) Impact of capital structure is reflected only in the tax shield; because DB Group is a consolidated tax group the capital structure of DB Group is used.
Individual figures are rounded and therefore may not add up.
As of December 31, 2018 (%).